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🏯 極小庭園 The Minimal Garden 🏯

探究復活の真実 | Exploring Resurrection Truth

A Bayesian calculator using only the minimal facts accepted by critical scholars

🪨 Select Your Stones (Facts)
0.001 0.5

📜 Historical Facts

Jesus' tomb found empty by women; even enemies acknowledged this

Multiple disciples had experiences of seeing Jesus alive

Hostile persecutor became apostle after experiencing Jesus

Resurrection testimony within 3-5 years of the event

Jesus' skeptical brother became believer and martyr

🎋 Quick Plantings

💧 Posterior Probability

1.00%

🌱 Select facts to begin cultivation

No facts selected

  • Starting prior: 1.0%
  • Select stones to begin cultivation

🌸 Share Your Garden

Minimal Facts Method (Habermas & Licona)

These five facts are accepted by 70-99% of critical scholars, including skeptics.

Bayesian Framework:

  • P(H) = Your prior probability of resurrection
  • For each fact: Update using Bayes' Theorem
  • P(H|E₁...Eₙ) = P(H) × Π P(Eᵢ|H) / [P(H) × Π P(Eᵢ|H) + (1-P(H)) × Π P(Eᵢ|¬H)]

Likelihood Ratios:

  • Each fact has P(E|H) from 0.94-0.99 (resurrection predicts evidence)
  • Each fact has P(E|¬H) from 0.02-0.25 (naturalism struggles)
  • Combined Bayes Factor: 10³ to 10⁴ (decisive evidence)

Sources:

  • Habermas, Gary. The Historical Jesus (2021) - 2,200+ source survey
  • Licona, Michael. The Resurrection of Jesus (2010) - historiography
  • Ehrman, Bart (skeptic) - accepts facts 2, 3, 4
  • Crossan, John Dominic (skeptic) - accepts empty tomb as "historical"

🔗 Explore Further

🏯 Created by Veritas Quaesitor | Christ-Anchored Intelligence
Cultivating truth through evidence and reason